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This is the Weblog of The Principle of Imminent Collapse: or How Things Really Work a unpublished book by Robert Carlson. The PIC is a manuscript in search of a publisher. What I have discovered is that I need an Agent to get an Agent to get a Publisher. Moreover, I need public exposure to get the Agent... until book and paper converge into one entity, this is the home of the The Principle of Imminent Collapse.
by Robert Carlson
  

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Today:

When Did It All Change?posted: Dec 14, 2008

This question is posted across several blogs because it applies to all the subjects of those blogs. It's All Tuna begs the answer to when did everything become Tuna and why? The Principle of Imminent Collapse has presented many examples of the principle in action, but why is it that we repeatedly fail to do anything about it? Is THAT another of the characteristics of the PIC? And the Vulnerable Geometry is only vulnerable because we construct it that way. Why?

This post seeks to elicit examples of when it all began and what evidence, albeit in retrospect, can be seen that has led us from the Before to the Now. An example of this question and answer is thus: People driving on the road today are so rude, ignorant and aggressive that they endanger everyone around them and sometimes commit murder over simple things. When did this start and what caused it to happen?

With that in mind, what is the answer to these:

When and why did it become more important to make a profit than to make a product or service that made life better for people?

When and why has sex replaced love? Songs in the 1950s and earlier were all about love and relationships. The 1960s saw some transition. The 1970s and on it is sheer sex and show.

We used to see starving children and mobilize efforts to save Biafrans. Rock stars sang and did benefit concerts. We had Farm Aid. We had Feed the Children. Now we hardly even know the place called Darfur. What has happened?

If the answers were simple, we would have solved our problems already. But identifying the causes and the time line is an essential step in getting to that goal.

Vulnerable Geometry at Blogspot
Sustaimable Geometry at Blogspot
It's All Tuna! at Blogspot
Principle of Imminent Collapse at Blogspot
www.itsalltuna-blog.com
www.ThePIC-Blog.com
Post Responses

Believing That What Happens to Others is Not Important posted Nov 9, 2008

In America, we promote the individual as the most important unit in society, followed by the family, followed by society at large. Personal gains are treasured above all else. It takes acts of congress to force us to consider our neighbors, to make us clean up after ourselves, and to answer Man’s first question: Am I my brother’s keeper?

We need laws to force a man to support his offspring after he decides that the woman he loved was not really the Right One. We need laws that limit and codify the permissible amount of poison we can effluse in the rivers, belch into the air and dump upon the land.

Many industrial enterprises operated decades on the principle that their nasty waste products could be but in the river or buried on site and forgotten. Read More

Sustainable Population posted Nov 1, 2008

Like many students in the 1960's, my perspectives of the global picture was shaped in part by Paul Ehrlich's book, The Population Bomb, and its dire predictions of the near term consequences of not forcibly constraining world populations. While the premises and conclusions of his work were overly "enthusiastic" and did not bring about the demise of any civilization anywhere in the world in the 37 years since their publication, the conditions that he wrote about have been notched up to a higher level of potential failure.

Ehrlich's error was in not being able to predict Read More

Drinking the Kool-Aid posted Oct 26, 2008

Ever since Jim Jones convinced his Guyana commune followers to commit mass suicide in 1978, by drinking cyanide laced Kool-Aid, the reputation of the powdered drink mix has never been the same. It took a while for someone to use the phrase metaphorically, but writers and trendsetters are always coming up with catchy new idioms that become cliché with their over use. Drinking the Kool-Aid in the respect of following a political position is one of those uses. Meant to disparage the person who sees some good in a position that others may rabidly hold as a fundamental tenet of their own blind allegiance to a principle it tells more about the speaker than it does about the object of the statement.

Politics is not polar as some might suggest. Read More

Domino Model Revisited posted Oct 10, 2008

click the graphic to read the article

Financial Dominos posted Sept 30, 2008

With several collections of examples of the Principle of Imminent Collapse at work categorized into chapters and demystified, there are always so many more that can be used to show why it is that we must learn to recognize the imminence of the collapse to that we can alter our course of action and thereby the outcome.

The national disaster of the credit banks in the United States and the trading partners exemplifies the dangers of being too homogeneous in character. As stated in an earlier piece, too many Democrats or too many Republicans in the House is a dangerous thing. Too much government regulation is bad as well as too little. Both economic philosophies tamper with the harmonious operation of what should be natural balances.

Over regulating finance institutions serves to create an immediate desired affect but it very well may have a long term negative impact. It is the same as with Forest Management and flood control by the Army Corp of Engineers. Read More

When Regulators are In Bed with Business posted Sept 23, 2008

The Principle of Imminent Collapse invariably shows up when the people who are supposed to inspect and report deficiencies and non-compliance to laws fail in the performance of that public trust. It would be one thing if the failure was due to inexperience and not knowing what the outcomes would be, but all too often the failure is due to a tacit agreement that the regulation is only for show and that no actual interference will be manifest.

Rampant Capitalist Buying and Selling leads to the Principle of Imminent Collapse. When one allows free-market forces to run amok free from oversight, regulation and rationality, a crash is unavoidable. The fallacy of Laissez-faire is that it assumes that corporations are peopled with only honest and earnest directors, managers and staff. It would be true if emotions did not interfere. The role of government oversight is to reign in the adrenaline and testosterone fueled frenzy that emerges as a corporate personality trait when the wild ride begins. Read More

Democracy and the Principle of Imminent Collapse posted Sept 11, 2008

The existence of democracy itself is an improbable phenomenon in a heavily populated global civilization. Today a multitude of factions vie for recognition and participation in the global forum. Even the inventors of democracy, the Greeks and later the Romans, did not allow just anyone to cast his vote for or against a law or action of the state. Athens was full of Athenians who voted and a slave class of people who did not. One did not merely move to Athens or any of the other city-states and sign up as a voting citizen.

Then, there was a ruling class of learned and/or powerful people who constituted the intelligentia who could plan and implement the business of the state. The blacksmith, the stone masons and the shepherds first had no interests of state nor and say in the matters of state. Slaves certainly were not valued as contributors to the running of the state. Today, we hold as self-evident that everyone should have a say in the matters of selecting representatives who will ultimately conduct the state’s business. Read More

Expecting Collapse

A great many people are expecting collapse. I know a few of them personally. If you are not one yourself, you undoubtedly know a few yourself anyway. There is a danger in expecting collapse to solve your problems. The " Truth About Tobacco " campaign says it quite succinctly: "you don't always die from tobacco."

As recently as September 1, 2008 President George W. Bush did get his wish and received a more than plausible reason to stay away from the RNC in Minneapolis-St. Paul. In this case he was relieved to have a major storm event in the Gulf of Mexico to watch from The Whitehouse rather than take a chance on flying to the Convention cities and be caught off guard once again by a tricky hurricane that everyone else could see coming for five days. Read More

How many times have you said...

(or heard your parents say) the following statements?

Humans have the tendency to hold stressful things in until they are no longer able to contain their reaction. The level of stress continues to build, while to outward appearances everything remains calm until...

a. I'm at my wit's end.
b. I'm at the end of my rope.
c. If I hear you arguing with your sister (brother) just one more time, I think I'll explode.
d. You have me so upset I think I'm having a nervous breakdown.
e. I feel like I'm forever treading water...
f. He seemed okay, then just went off the deep end.
Read More

Browns Ferry Nuclear Power Plant…Posted: 8-17-2008 19:16

March 22, 1975 was the first nuclear power plant incident to put the nation in peril. The Alabama power plant experienced a fire that disabled the core cooling systems and could have led to a boil-off of the cooling water and subsequent meltdown of the nuclear fuel.

The fire started when two electrical technicians were attempting to seal an air leak at a wall opening where the electrical control cabling that runs between the control room equipment and the Unit 1 and Unit 2 reactors. The test for leakage in the foam rubber insulation was to hold a lighted candle to the area and watch for the affects on the flame of any infiltrating air. They found some infiltrating air, but it sucked the flame into the opening igniting the foam insulation.

Immediate attempts to put out the fire were unsuccessful. Read More

Global Energy Demand …Posted: 4-29-2008 21:24

Most of what we have heard about the availability and price of oil since the Big Oil Shortage of the 1970's has revolved around production and the continual free flow of product from beneath the sands of the Middle East to the neighborhood pumps in the American suburbs and along the most rural stretch of Inter-state highway. As we stood in long lines and conspired to be able to get fuel on an even numbered day with an odd-numbered license plate, i.e. two vehicles between which one could exchange fuel, or illegally by swapping plates, it always remained that the supply was not in doubt. Only the delivery was the uncertainty. In those days, fuel was priced in the range of 25 to 30 Cents per gallon and we sucked it down at the rate of 8 to 10 miles per gallon through carburetors that dumped fuel down the throat of the engine and spewed a huge portion of the energy content into the air as exhaust.

In those days the US was the biggest consumer of petroleum fuels. Petroleum was so plentiful that we amply made everything imaginable out of the long carbon chain molecules. In 1968 Mr. Robinson confided to Dustin Hoffman, in the Graduate, that the one word to remember is "plastics. "

Since those days, the 800 million painfully rural and subsistence level Chinese people have become 1,300 million upwardly mobile Chinese people who seem to have a new found taste for octane. Their growth can be measured in annual NYC Units. Read More

Man's Failure To Understand How Things Work…Posted: 4-21-2008 21:34

Many of these situations cannot fully be divorced from the Natural Systems because many of these situations are predicated on Man's lack of understanding of how things work. By declaring forest fires evil, he must marshal his resources to fight this evil even to the point where he creates a new problem. The 100% suppression policy has created forests that perpetually are on the verge of collapse due to the accumulation of natural litter and small trees that are easily ignited and proceed to big burns of the grand older trees that last for weeks.

When we spread fertilizers and insecticides on our crop fields to enhance the quantity and quality of the yields, we get improvement on one side of the equation and degradation on the other. Read More

When "Failure is Not an Option" …Posted: 4-21-2008 19:26

This declaration has two contexts. The one where is it a motivational motto for military men to take the hill and for football players to break through the defense and make the touchdown, it is a truly inspiring war cry. The phrase has a nobler genesis with Gene Franz, Mission Director for the Apollo moon missions in the 1960s after Jim Lovell issued his understated but undying words, "Houston, we have a problem." But the other context leads to the Principle of Imminent Collapse. Where failure is declared to not be an option, there is and need to bury the truth about a manifest failure and to sequester the bearer of the bad news. In the Roman times, the messenger of bad news was killed, not because the recipient was angry, but because he did not want that bad news being leaked to the troops or enemy. The messenger might have become aware of the nature of his message and passed it along out of the chain of command that is essential in a military context. Read More

Imminent Collapse Begins When…Posted: 4-19-2008 19:58

Better it is to be able to look forward to and see that a process of imminent collapse is in the works than to perennially look backwards to view its aftermath. What value is there in "I told you so" if it doesn't prompt the listener to be more circumspect the next time. When, then, does imminent collapse begin? What are some of the antecedent conditions that beg the Principle of Imminent Collapse to realize itself?

…Technology moves faster than Sociology
…Sociology moves faster than Biology
…Sociology moves faster than Religion
…Legality moves faster than Sociology
…We Fail to Pay Attention to Little Things

The PIC and The Church's Rapture ··· Posted: April 13, 2008 22:08

“The 88 Reasons Why Rosh-hash-ana 1988 Must Be The Time of The Church's Rapture”, a book by Edgar C. Whisenant

In May 1988, my wife was handed a book by Edgar C. Whisenant that purported to analyze Biblical prophecies, the calendar and every scripture to determine that The Rapture would be on October 4, 1988, that WWIII was going to begin at 6:00PM on October 6, 1988. She passed the book to me and I read it with a fair amount of skepticism and humor. The author seemed quite earnest in his lengthy and scholarly presentation. I marveled at its timeliness, too - only months before the end. I told my wife that it was fortunate that we would be driving through the deserts of Arizona on vacation when the bombs began to fall and that maybe we would miss it altogether. I joked that we might report for our flight back to Georgia at the end of our trip and find the airport and all the people gone. I thought of the book Earth Abides by George R. Stewart in 1949 where Isherwood Williams emerges from the mountains after narrowly surviving a rattle snake bite to find all humans and most other animal species dead from some unknown virus. Read More

Honey Bees and the Principle of Imminent Collapse ··· Posted: April 13, 2008 16:37

Bees all over the Earth have been buzzing around doing what they do for thousands of years. So what is it that they do? They build a hive. They make and tend their Queen. She produces all the eggs. The workers fly out into the sunlight and collect pollen on their legs. This pollen is converted into food for the hive members, the queen and all the larva that will continue the population of the hive. This food is quite tasty and sweet and we love it as Honey. The bees make lots of it. We collect it and they make more.

Bees have developed a symbiotic relationship with the plants that produce the pollen that bees take home for dinner. The plants which are rooted in one place for life cannot go out and about looking for genetic diversity to propagate their species. To overcome this handicap (not to be confused with a disability) the plants have developed some ingenious tactics in order to transmit their DNA from plant to plant across vast distances. Read More

Underestimating the Rate of Collapse ··· Posted: April 7, 2008 7:16

The purpose of writing on the topic of the Principle of Imminent Collapse is not to depress the reader or to sensationalize a political position. The purpose is to make intelligent educated people aware of the dangers that lay in wait for us if we do not make a plan and implement the plan for what we will do when the nudge happens.

Scientists employed by the government either directly as staff or indirectly as grant recipients are subject to "editing" that makes their reports more concise and acceptable. In fact, a lot of the editing is censorship and repression of information that the governing Administration does not want to have circulated with its name on it. Therefore, lawyers rewrite essential environmental reports to make sure that the interests of the government and business community are preserved and not threatened by "irresponsible" claims of overzealous scientists. Read More

A Fire in the Night ··· Posted: April 6, 2008 14:56

Date Line: April 6, 2008 Boston, MA

Two little girls died in a house fire that broke out in the wee hours of the morning. Acia Johnson, 14, and her sister Sophia Johnson, 3 had their bedroom on the third floor of their parents' South Boston home. Their address is important unless you knew them. They are representative of hundreds of children each year. Somewhere around 3 AM the fire became apparent. It would have smoldered or burned in the walls for a lot longer than that. Read More

The Undiscovered Lie ··· Posted: April 6, 2008 13:13

The undiscovered lie leads to Imminent Collapse. There are countless books and screenplays that rely upon the premise of the undiscovered lie to setup the circumstances for the fall of the protagonist. It is the identity of the illegitimate child who comes home to claim the rightful inheritance. It is the body concealed in the crawlspace or under the gazebo in the garden. It is the embezzled millions that polite society believes was inherited or earned in a well conceived investment strategy. It is the covered up homicide, accidental or otherwise, that only a few frat brothers know about.

The guilty party may rise, especially if he or she rises, to a place of prominence that is beyond all reproach. She may marry the wealth of a prominent family after being a call girl in some obscure city, only to find that someone who comes back into her life was a former patron. He may be a pillar of the community only to have been the person who fled the fire fight and left comrades to die in his absence. He may have been the Lieutenant in the National Guard who found his family connections could mask his absence from duty at a time that his nation was fighting an unpopular war. Read More

Introduction

Here are a few Chapters and Sections of The Principle of Imminent Collapse. They are in no particular order other than an explanation of exactly what The PIC is and how it was first postulated.

How The PIC was first articulated:

>What the PIC is?

The Domino Model:

What This Means to Us:

Globalization And The PIC Posted April 1, 2008

Stovepipes And The PIC Posted March 31, 2008

b Posted Mar 31, 2008

c Posted Mar 31, 2008

Your comments and views are welcome. Content SPAM is not. Unrelated threads are not welcome. There is infinite space for flaming each other outside. So take it outside.

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I have seen so many tragic failures of understanding of how things really work that if I didn't speak out and say something about it, I would complicit in future failures. Some failures only destroy property while others destroy lives both by taking them and by not taking them when the residual impacts are so horrendous. The worst tragedy of all is ignoring the PIC and just letting it have its way with our lives.

Places To Visit
End of List
Links of Interest and a whole lot more
It's All Tuna! Blog.com
Links of Interest
In A Quantum Universe...
Hubris and the Military
My Principle of Imminent Collapse on Blogspot
The Eternal Return.
Nietzsche's Eternal Recurrence
Links of Interest
China Syndrome
Links of Interest
Truth About Tobacco Link
Heaven's Gate Wiki Link
Nostradamas Code
Excited Delirium
BSAlert.com
Links of Interest
Links of Interest
Links of Interest
Links of Interest
Links of Interest

Examples and Archives:

The Great(er) Blackout 22
Highway Building and Beltway Accidents 24
Airline crash: exploding engine 26
Space Shuttle Challenger 29
Space Shuttle Columbia 29
Hyatt Regency Skywalk Collapse, Kansas City 30
World Trade Center 31
Chicago Freight Tunnel Flood 33
Browns Ferry Nuclear Power Plant 35
Chernobyl' Nuclear Reactor 36
Nuclear Power (as a cautionary tale) 37
Kinzua Viaduct 38
USS Titanic 39 Hurricane Andrew, August 24, 1992 40
Hurricane Katrina, August 2005 41
Influenza Outbreak Circa 1918 50
The Internet 53
Computers In General 56
Race Riots of 1968 59
Pesticides and Herbicides 60
The Cold War and the Collapse of Soviet Communism 62
Aneurysms 63
Anaphylactic shock 65
Fidel Castro 66
Chesapeake Bay 67
River Systems 70

A Fire in the Night 75
A Penny in the Fuse Box 79
A Nail in the Tire 80
Culture Conflicts 82
Government Policies 85
King Fahd of Saudi Arabia 90
And The Meek Shall Inherit The Earth 92
Living From Paycheck to Paycheck - homelessness 93
The Slippery Slope - an admonition to avoid the Principle of Imminent Collapse 95
Public Welfare and How It Holds Off Imminent Collapse 97
How Entitlements Can Lead to Imminent Collapse 99
Identity Theft 104
The Religious Right and fundamentalism 107
Uncontrolled and Controlled Population Growth. 108
More Uncontrolled and Controlled Population Growth 110
The Principle of Imminent Collapse Is Often Mistaken for the Wrath of the Gods 113
Foot in Mouth Disease 114
Jim Bakker and his Christian Condominium Village 114
The other Jimmy who fornicated and lied (cried) about it 115
The Fall of Newt 115
Marv Albert 115
Martha Stewart 115
Rush Limbaugh 116
Michael Jackson 116
William Jefferson Clinton 116
The 88 Reasons Why Rosh-hash-ana 1988 Must Be The Time of The Church's Rapture 117
The Long and Short Of It 119
Post Office 119
Road Design 121
Prepaid disposable cell phones, prepaid LD calling cards, and wireless internet 122
A New Equilibrium 124
Fixation 126
George W. Bush and Fixation 127
The Undiscovered Lie 127
Third World Earthquakes and Other Natural Disasters 130
Recap 131
What is the Principle of Imminent Collapse theory? 131
Disruption of Natural Systems: 131
Man's Failure to Adjust to Changing Circumstances. 132
Inflexibility and Intolerance 133
Imminent Collapse Begins When
…Technology moves faster than Sociology
…Sociology moves faster than Biology
…Sociology moves faster than Religion
…Legality moves faster than Sociology
…We Fail to Pay Attention to Little Things Plan B? We have a Plan B? 139
How many times have you said … 140
The Principle of Imminent Collapse Precedes Jumping the Shark 141
Believing That It Won't Happen to You 143
Believing That What Happen to Others is Not Important 143
When "Failure is Not an Option" 145
Stubborn Resolve 147
Ulterior Motives 148

White Noise 149
The "Positive" Aspects of the Principle of Imminent Collapse 151